VEF Beneish M-Score Calculation
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of VEF for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
| M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
| = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 0.4312 | + | 0.528 * 1 | + | 0.404 * 1.0006 | + | 0.892 * 6.9144 | + | 0.115 * 0.1447 |
| - | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI |
| - | 0.172 * -5.5311 | + | 4.679 * 0.487562 | - | 0.327 * 0.1095 |
| = | 5.87 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
| This Year (Sep21) TTM: | Last Year (Sep20) TTM: |
Total Receivables was kr2 Mil.
Revenue was 466.664 + 29.044 + 139.432 + 533.332 = kr1,168 Mil.
Gross Profit was 466.664 + 29.044 + 139.432 + 533.332 = kr1,168 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr0 Mil.
Total Assets was kr4,799 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr1 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr1 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr35 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr0 Mil.
Net Income was 447.534 + 4.03 + 130.462 + 505.725 = kr1,088 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = kr0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -801.1 + 23.46 + -0.077 + -474.539 = kr-1,252 Mil.
|
Total Receivables was kr1 Mil.
Revenue was 401.203 + 354.86 + -607.031 + 19.959 = kr169 Mil.
Gross Profit was 401.203 + 354.86 + -607.031 + 19.959 = kr169 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr0 Mil.
Total Assets was kr2,380 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr2 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr-1 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr1 Mil.
|
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
| DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
| = | (1.979 / 1168.472) | / | (0.664 / 168.991) |
| = | 0.001694 | / | 0.003929 |
| | = | 0.4312 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
| GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
| = | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) |
| = | (168.991 / 168.991) | / | (1168.472 / 1168.472) |
| = | 1 | / | 1 |
| | = | 1 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
| AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | (1 - (0 + 1.158) / 4799.408) | / | (1 - (0 + 1.922) / 2379.933) |
| = | 0.999759 | / | 0.999192 |
| | = | 1.0006 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
| SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
| = | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 |
| = | 1168.472 | / | 168.991 |
| | = | 6.9144 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
| DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
| = | (0.138 / (0.138 + 1.922)) | / | (0.998 / (0.998 + 1.158)) |
| = | 0.06699 | / | 0.462894 |
| | = | 0.1447 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
| SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
| = | (35.339 / 1168.472) | / | (-0.924 / 168.991) |
| = | 0.030244 | / | -0.005468 |
| | = | -5.5311 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
| LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | ((0.147 + 0) / 4799.408) | / | ((0.673 + 0) / 2379.933) |
| = | 3.1E-5 | / | 0.000283 |
| | = | 0.1095 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
| TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (1087.751 - 0 | - | -1252.256) | / | 4799.408 |
| | = | 0.487562 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
VEF has a M-score of 5.87 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
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